The Kamala Harris-Biden Conundrum For Democrats

Yours Truly has repeatedly said despite opposing viewpoints by paid mainstream media pundits that U.S. Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) is the presumptive favorite to win the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination for the 2020 elections. Yours Truly began saying this way back in April 2018 with this post and has repeated the assertion through the various iterations of the popular #Dem2020Poll.

Senator Kamala Harris’ political stardom hit mainstream media pundits like a brick between the eyes this past Thursday (06/27/2019) following her stellar debate performance where she methodically cast Biden as a racial segregation sympathizer–a near fatal blow in the eyes of the ethnically diverse Democratic Party voting base. Sen Kamala Harris all but busted the grassroots Democrats’ fantasies of a Biden-Harris no-brainer ticket.

Clearly Yours Truly has been way ahead of the curve touting Sen Kamala Harris’ political stardom(deserved chest-thumping) so it’s only fair that Yours Truly also direct your attention to a potential quagmire the Kamala Harris stardom may pose to the Dem presidential chances in 2020–the aforementioned Kamala Harris-Biden conundrum. Here’s how it plays out.

Most political pundits agree that Joe Biden would be a great general election candidate for Democrats in 2020 because he has a chance of winning back the rural White Obama voters who Trump won in 2016. The same political pundits also agree that a Joe Biden-Kamala Harris ticket in 2020 would be unstoppable–a no-brainer ticket if you will. There is a problem however for Democrats with this seemingly easy solution to the Trump problem. As Yours Truly stated in these tweets, there is a very strong possibility that Sen Kamala Harris will beat Joe Biden for the Democratic Party’s nomination effectively busting the Biden-Harris fantasy.

How then do Democrats turn around and tell Sen Kamala Harris, “Congratulations for winning the nominations but we’d be better off with the no-brainer Biden-Harris ticket?” Political pundits agree that Sen Harris would be a terrific general election candidate in any other presidential election cycle but going up against Trump, with the attendant race-baiting that is sure to ensue, there’a a very good chance she may lose the general election for reasons that have nothing to do with her qualifications. Simply put, even though the modern Democratic Party is more inclined to nominate a Kamala Harris, the fact of the matter is that against Trump, Biden is a better general election candidate and more importantly a Biden-Harris ticket is a sure winner in 2020. What to do about this tricky 2020 situation confronting Democrats as we go through the nomination process is one that deserves a lot of open and frank debate among the party faithful especially given the fact that the desire to unseat Trump in 2020 appears to trump everything else (forgive the pun).

Bottom line as we go through the excitement of the presidential nomination process, we as Democrats also need to start seriously thinking about the conundrum the Trump presidency poses on the Democratic Party’s nomination process. How do we make sure that the person we nominate to go up against Trump is also the best general election candidate? These are the tough topics Yours Truly hopes paid mainstream media pundits will expound on as the presidential nomination contest progresses. The 2020 presidential election is still very far away and a lot of twists and turns are bound to take place and therefore as Trump famously says, “we’ll see what happens.” Also importantly, if Sen Harris ends up as the 2020 Dem nominee, please make sure to remind the “expert” presidential prognosticators (Nate Silver, et al) that the real deal @emolclause has arrived!!

Beto O’Rourke Leading The 2020 Dem Presidential Sweepstakes

Beto O’Rourke

As was expected, the Dem presidential nomination fight began in earnest the day after the November 2018 elections with several Democrats either outrightly declaring their intention to run for president in 2020 or strongly hinting at that.

Several months prior to the November 2018 elections, Yours Truly began running the popular #Dem2020Poll to gauge who grassroots Democrats favored as their presidential nominee in 2020. The results of the #Dem2020Poll initially showed Senator Kamala Harris(D-CA) and Rep Joe Kennedy III as the top contenders for the 2020 Dem presidential nomination with more people favoring a Harris/Kennedy ticket.

However in May 2018, following speculation that former Vice President Joe Biden was considering a presidential run, he immediately shot to the top of the #Dem2020Poll with most people preferring a Biden/Harris ticket.

In September 2018 Sen Kamala Harris shot back to the top of the Dem 2020 presidential sweepstakes due to the Kavanaugh Supreme Court hearings.

Well it appears everything has changed after the November 2018 elections and grassroots Democrats now overwhelmingly want Texas Democrat Beto O’Rourke to either head the 2020 presidential ticket or be someone’s running mate.

At this juncture it is also important to address the Bernie Sanders issue. Yours Truly has deliberately left him out in previous #Dem2020Polls because he is not a registered Democrat. This issue has caused a lot of controversy and division among grassroots Dems so for the sake of party cohesion, Bernie Sanders now features in all the polls. Beyond the party cohesion argument, reasonable people will agree that a #Dem2020Poll without Bernie Sanders is not realistic/credible because like him or not, he has a lot of support among registered Democrats.

Bottom line 2020 is still very far away and a lot of twists and turns are bound to take place. As Trump himself regularly says, “We’ll see what happens.”


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Michael Avenatti Running For Prez In 2020

Attorney Michael Avenatti

Attorney Michael Avenatti who has become a household name for his fearless attacks on Trump and his long time lawyer Michael Cohen over their cobduct regarding pornstar Stormy Daniels(his client), has apparently made a July 4, 2018 announcement that he is willing to run for President in 2020 if Trump is the GOP nominee.


This is undoubtedly music to the ears of grassroots Dems who have been urging Avenatti to run for President (#Avenatti2020) because they believe his fearlessness towards Trump will work well for him in 2020 against the inevitable attacks by TeamTrump.  There are a lot of upsides to a potential #Avenatti2020 but Yours Truly will focus at the moment on the effect of Avenatti’s announcement on our #Dem2020Poll analysis.


When we first began the popular #Dem2020Poll, it was very clear that grassroots Dems were excited about Sen Kamala Harris and Rep Joe Kennedy III and wanted them to run together, with Harris on top of the ticket.

Roughly around mid-May 2018 we saw a shift towards Joe Biden with most grassroots Dems favoring either a Biden/Harris or a Biden/Kennedy ticket. Various iterations of #Dem2020Poll have shown that Biden/Harris is slightly popular than Biden/Kennedy but that overall grassroots Dems prefer Biden on top of the 2020 Dem presidential ticket(#BidenTheory)

With Avenatti officially in the 2020 mix, the question now becomes will he upend the prevailing #BidenTheory(topple Biden) or will grassroots Dems prefer him as Biden’s running mate? Also how will Avenatti’s entry affect the other two prominent contenders Sen Harris and Rep Kennedy III?

As always, Yours Truly with the vibrant #Dem2020Poll community will get to the bottom of all these pressing questions for the benefit of the DNC– and the #MSM who’ll never admit it but are deeply captivated by the highly civilized, exceptionally well informed #Dem2020Poll community.

For those of you very happy with @Emolclause’s activism don’t shy away from the “tip jar” below on your way out