A Provocative Claim About Presidential Responsibility

In a striking segment on MSNOWโ€™s The Last Word, host Lawrence Oโ€™Donnell argued that Donald Trump is the only American president whose peacetime policies have resulted in more deaths than those occurring under his wartime actions. The claim immediately ignited fierce debate. Supporters of Trump dismissed it as hyperbolic political theater, while critics said it merely put numbers to what they see as the lethal consequences of policy choices.

To be precise, the argument is not that Trump personally โ€œkilledโ€ anyone, but that decisions made under his administration produced deadly outcomes. Oโ€™Donnellโ€™s central focus was the sweeping DOGE cuts, which he contends slashed critical foreign aid programs and humanitarian assistance. According to the segment, those reductions led to food shortages and medical supply disruptions in vulnerable regionsโ€”particularly in parts of sub-Saharan Africaโ€”contributing to starvation deaths, interruptions in HIV treatment, and preventable fatalities among infants and immunocompromised patients. The broader moral claim is straightforward: when the United States withdraws life-sustaining aid at scale, the consequences are measured in lives lost.

Oโ€™Donnellโ€™s case draws added force from history. For decades, humanitarian aid to Africa enjoyed bipartisan backing. Republican President George W. Bush, for example, earned praise for expanding anti-HIV/AIDS initiatives that saved millions of lives. By that standard, Oโ€™Donnell suggests the Trump-era retrenchment marked not just a policy shift but a break from a rare area of cross-party moral consensus.

A related point, not specifically raised by Oโ€™Donnell but relevant to the broader debate, is that the United States continues to provide substantial aid to strategic allies such as Israel. That reality complicates a blanket โ€œAmerica Firstโ€ defense of foreign aid reductions, since it suggests the issue is less about ending foreign assistance altogether and more about where and to whom it is directed.

Critics of Oโ€™Donnellโ€™s assertion counter that it stretches causation beyond responsible limits. Foreign aid systems are complex, involving NGOs, host governments, and multilateral institutions; attributing downstream deaths directly to a single administrationโ€™s budget decisions can oversimplify reality. They also argue that every president makes trade-offs and that fiscal restraint, even when painful, is not equivalent to intent to harm. Some pro-Trump voices further contend that global poverty, corruption, and logistical failuresโ€”rather than U.S. policy aloneโ€”bear primary responsibility for humanitarian crises. From this vantage point, labeling Trump as uniquely deadly in peacetime risks politicizing tragedy.

Yet supporters of Oโ€™Donnellโ€™s framing respond that intent is not the only moral metricโ€”foreseeability matters. If experts warned that cutting HIV medication pipelines or food assistance would predictably result in deaths, and those warnings were ignored, responsibility cannot be shrugged off as indirect. They also fold in the administrationโ€™s handling of COVID-19, arguing that inconsistent messaging, resistance to mitigation strategies, and delayed responses contributed to avoidable American deaths. When those domestic losses are considered alongside alleged foreign aid consequences, the cumulative toll becomes central to the debate.

Ultimately, Oโ€™Donnellโ€™s claim sounds bombastic at first hearing. Comparing peacetime and wartime death tolls is inherently fraught, and presidential accountability for global mortality is complex. Still, given the scale of reported COVID fatalities and credible estimates that reductions in humanitarian aid can translate into hundreds of thousands of preventable deaths, it is not unreasonable to argue that Trump-era policies may have produced an extraordinary peacetime human cost. One can dispute the framing, question the arithmetic, and challenge the causationโ€”but it is no longer far-fetched to make the claim.

A Strong Case For Trumpโ€™s Military Intervention In Venezuela

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An interesting segment on MSNOW featured Hagar Chemali, who made one of the most coherent and intellectually serious cases yet for President Trumpโ€™s military posture toward Venezuela. Going into the segment, the prevailing narrative across television news was nearly unanimous: Trumpโ€™s actions were framed as a reckless violation of international law, untethered from any legitimate U.S. national security interest. What Chemali didโ€”methodically and without theatricsโ€”was complicate that narrative in a way most pundits either cannot or will not.

Chemali did not dispute that Trumpโ€™s actions strain, and may even violate, existing international legal frameworks. Instead, she argued that focusing exclusively on legality misses the more consequential question of national security. According to Chemali, the postโ€“World War II international systemโ€”particularly institutions like the United Nationsโ€”has become largely incapable of enforcing the very rules it was designed to uphold. That vacuum, she contends, has been aggressively exploited by rogue states and non-state actors who operate with near impunity, often embedding themselves in fragile or hostile regimes much closer to U.S. shores than many Americans appreciate.

What gives Chemaliโ€™s argument particular weight is her background. She is not a partisan talking head or an armchair strategist. Chemali served in senior roles at the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including in the Office of Terrorist Financing and Financial Crimes, where she worked directly on counterterrorism, sanctions policy, and efforts to disrupt the financial networks of hostile states and extremist groups. She also held positions during the Obama administration and has worked closely with interagency national security teams, giving her firsthand exposure to how threats are assessed when cameras are not rolling. In other words, she understands how national security doctrine is applied in practice, not just debated on cable news panels.

From that vantage point, Chemali argues that Venezuela cannot be viewed in isolation. It is not merely a failing state or a humanitarian crisis; it has become a strategic foothold for U.S. adversaries seeking influence in the Western Hemisphere. In that context, she suggests, the United States asserting a policing role in the Americas is less about imperial ambition and more about responding to a security architecture that no longer functions. When international bodies fail to actโ€”or selectively enforce rulesโ€”power vacuums do not remain empty for long.

Chemaliโ€™s analysis effectively provides the Trump administration with a serious national security rationale that goes beyond bluster or appeals to raw power. It offers a framework for countering the charge that the administration is acting lawlessly by arguing that the law itself has become disconnected from enforcement realities. Whether one agrees with that conclusion or not, it is a far more substantive defense than the caricature of Trump acting on impulse or ego.

Trump has occasionally gestured toward the Monroe Doctrine when addressing Venezuela, at times referring to his own version as the โ€œDonroe Doctrine,โ€ but he has rarely articulated the argument with the clarity or discipline Chemali brings to it. Her explanation distills what the administration seems to believe but has struggled to communicate: that American restraint, in a world where enforcement mechanisms are broken, can itself become a liability. Whether Trump adopts this rationale more explicitly going forward remains to be seen, but Chemaliโ€™s intervention may well give the administration an opening to reframe the debate on terms that are strategic rather than merely legalistic.

How Long Will The U.S. Keep Boots On The Ground In Venezuela?

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Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) appeared on MSNOW this weekend to discuss the rapidly unfolding developments surrounding the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolรกs Maduro. When pressed by one of the hosts on how long Americans should expect U.S. military boots to remain on the ground in Venezuela, Luna offered little beyond a hopeโ€”saying she โ€œhopesโ€ the deployment wonโ€™t last long. That answer may sound reassuring, but history gives us little reason to share her optimism.

Hope is not a strategy, especially when it comes to U.S. regime-change operations. If there is one consistent lesson from Americaโ€™s modern military interventions, it is that removing a leader is usually the easiest part. What followsโ€”stabilization, governance, security, and reconstructionโ€”is where things unravel, drag on, and become vastly more expensive in both blood and treasure. Libya and Iraq loom large as cautionary tales, and Venezuela shows every sign of following the same grim script.

Iraq is perhaps the clearest example of this delusion. Military planners and television pundits alike once spoke confidently of a war that would be over in days or weeks. And indeed, the initial invasion was swift and overwhelming, culminating in the rapid toppling of Saddam Hussein. But the fall of a dictator did not produce the democratic transformation Washington promised. Instead, the United States found itself mired in a prolonged occupation, battling insurgencies, sectarian violence, and political chaos that cost hundreds of thousands of lives and trillions of dollars. Libya followed a similar trajectory: regime change first, disorder and state collapse afterward.

There is little reason to believe Venezuela will be any different. Removing Maduro does not magically resolve deep political divisions, economic collapse, or regional instability. Those problems do not disappear when a strongman is captured; they intensify. The idea that U.S. forces can simply step in, flip a switch, and then quickly depart belongs more to fantasy than to serious strategic thinking. The smart money says that once boots are on the ground, they stayโ€”often far longer than anyone publicly admits at the outset.

This reality also collides head-on with โ€œAmerica Firstโ€ rhetoric. An unprovoked military incursion into Venezuela, paired with open threats toward other governments in the region, hardly aligns with a foreign policy supposedly focused on rebuilding at home. Every dollar spent sustaining an open-ended military presence abroad is a dollar not spent addressing Americaโ€™s own crumbling infrastructure, healthcare gaps, or economic inequality. And as history has shown, these ventures rarely remain bloodless. Casualties are not an unfortunate possibility; they are an almost inevitable outcome.

Americans should therefore be clear-eyed about what is unfolding. If past is prologue, the United States is not heading for a brief, tidy mission in Venezuela, but for a long and costly entanglement. Congress cannot simply defer to vague hopes or executive assurances. It has a constitutional obligation to demand accountability, debate the mission honestly, and decide whether this path truly serves the nationโ€™s interestsโ€”before yet another โ€œquick interventionโ€ turns into a generational tragedy.

Can A Farmer Revolt Shape The Outcome Of The 2026 Midterms?

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President Trumpโ€™s latest tariffs have dealt a severe blow to Americaโ€™s farmersโ€”many of whom form the backbone of his political base. By making U.S. agricultural exports more expensive abroad, the tariffs have driven key trading partners, especially China, to look elsewhere for soybeans and beef. The result: a mounting glut of unsold American farm goods and growing resentment in rural communities that once rallied behind the โ€œAmerica Firstโ€ banner.

Nowhere is the impact clearer than in the soybean sector. For years, China was the single largest buyer of U.S. soybeans, accounting for over half of all American exports. But since the imposition of Trumpโ€™s tariffs, Beijing has turned almost entirely to Argentina and Brazil to fill its soybean needs. The shift has devastated U.S. growers across the Midwestโ€”states like Iowa, Illinois, and Missouri that voted overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 and again in 2024.

What makes the situation even more striking is Argentinaโ€™s precarious economic state. The country teeters on the edge of financial collapse, yet President Javier Mileiโ€”a populist and self-proclaimed ally of Trumpโ€”has benefited from a quiet U.S.-backed economic rescue package. That move, intended to stabilize Argentinaโ€™s government, has inadvertently helped keep its agricultural exports flowingโ€”at the direct expense of American farmers.

โ€œThis feels like betrayal,โ€ said one Iowa soybean farmer interviewed by local media. โ€œWe were told America First. But right now, it looks like Argentina first.โ€

The same story is unfolding in the cattle industry. U.S. ranchers, already squeezed by high feed and fuel costs, now face declining demand from key international buyers. China and several Asian nations have ramped up imports of Argentine beef, taking advantage of lower prices and a favorable trade environment. For American ranchers, the optics of Washington bailing out a competitor while their own operations struggle are politically toxic.

As the 2026 midterms approach, this discontent threatens to boil over. Farmers who once viewed Trump as their champion are questioning whether his trade policiesโ€”and his personal alliancesโ€”reflect the economic nationalism he promised. In small-town coffee shops and agricultural forums across the Midwest, talk of a โ€œfarmer revoltโ€ is no longer unthinkable.

The irony, of course, is that the very communities that helped fuel Trumpโ€™s rise could now play a decisive role in blunting his political momentum. If the rural backlash takes root, it could reshape not just the midterms, but the broader balance of power in a Republican Party increasingly split between loyalty to Trump and frustration over his policies.

In short, Americaโ€™s farm country is waking up to a sobering realization: โ€œAmerica Firstโ€ may have sounded good on the campaign trailโ€”but the global farm economy tells a very different story.