Trumpโ€™s Stimulus Checks: Promises Made, Promises Broken

A revealing segment on MSNOWโ€™s Weekend Primetime took a hard look at the sweeping stimulus payments President Trump pledged throughout 2025 โ€” payments that, nearly a year later, have yet to materialize. The promises were not vague talking points. They were specific dollar amounts, repeated publicly, and framed as imminent relief for Americans struggling with rising costs.

As laid out on the program by co-host Catherine Rampell, Trump promised a $2,000 payment to Americans supposedly funded by revenue generated from his new tariffs. The pitch was simple: foreign countries would โ€œpay,โ€ tariff revenue would surge, and American households would receive direct checks. Economists warned at the time that tariffs function as taxes on consumers, not foreign governments, but the political message was clear โ€” relief was coming. It never did.

Then came the much larger promise tied to the administrationโ€™s Department of Government Efficiency initiative โ€” commonly branded as DOGE. Trump claimed that cost-cutting measures would generate so much savings that roughly $5,000 could be returned to every American household. The math was always questionable, hinging on speculative savings projections rather than enacted, audited reductions. No such checks have been issued.

Another pledge involved replacing or offsetting Affordable Care Act subsidies with direct payments of roughly $1,000 to $2,000 per family. The idea was presented as a more flexible alternative that would put cash directly into Americansโ€™ pockets. But as with the other stimulus proposals, there is no evidence of payments being distributed, no legislative framework that funded them, and no administrative mechanism that ever processed them.

Even beyond what was discussed on air, there was the highly publicized $1,776 โ€œmilitary 1776 paymentโ€ โ€” a proposed one-time check for military families in honor of Americaโ€™s 250th anniversary. It was marketed as a patriotic Christmas 2025 gift to service members and their families. Yet there has been no confirmation of funds being appropriated or delivered. Like the others, it appears to have remained rhetorical.

Taken together, these promises would have amounted to roughly $8,000 or more for many households โ€” a substantial sum for families grappling with rent increases, grocery inflation, child care costs, and mounting credit card debt. For people budgeting around the expectation of relief, the absence of these payments is not an abstract political issue; itโ€™s a tangible financial blow.

This pattern feeds directly into a longstanding vulnerability for Trump: credibility. No one compelled these specific dollar figures. No emergency legislation forced rushed commitments. These were self-generated promises, delivered with confidence and repetition. When they evaporate without explanation, it reinforces an already entrenched perception that Trumpโ€™s word is elastic โ€” bold in announcement, unreliable in execution.

It also deepens the narrative that this is a โ€œbillionairesโ€™ clubโ€ administration โ€” a government staffed and advised by ultra-wealthy insiders whose policy experiments and grand promises often feel detached from the day-to-day pressures of working families. When promised stimulus checks fail to appear while tax and regulatory policies favor high earners and corporate interests, the contrast becomes politically combustible.

Heading into the 2026 midterms, that gap between promise and reality could become a defining issue. Voters can tolerate partisan combat and even ideological swings. What they tend to punish is perceived deception โ€” especially when it involves their own bank accounts. If Americans conclude that the much-touted stimulus windfall was never real to begin with, the political cost may not be theoretical. It could be measured at the ballot box.

A Strong Case For Trumpโ€™s Military Intervention In Venezuela

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An interesting segment on MSNOW featured Hagar Chemali, who made one of the most coherent and intellectually serious cases yet for President Trumpโ€™s military posture toward Venezuela. Going into the segment, the prevailing narrative across television news was nearly unanimous: Trumpโ€™s actions were framed as a reckless violation of international law, untethered from any legitimate U.S. national security interest. What Chemali didโ€”methodically and without theatricsโ€”was complicate that narrative in a way most pundits either cannot or will not.

Chemali did not dispute that Trumpโ€™s actions strain, and may even violate, existing international legal frameworks. Instead, she argued that focusing exclusively on legality misses the more consequential question of national security. According to Chemali, the postโ€“World War II international systemโ€”particularly institutions like the United Nationsโ€”has become largely incapable of enforcing the very rules it was designed to uphold. That vacuum, she contends, has been aggressively exploited by rogue states and non-state actors who operate with near impunity, often embedding themselves in fragile or hostile regimes much closer to U.S. shores than many Americans appreciate.

What gives Chemaliโ€™s argument particular weight is her background. She is not a partisan talking head or an armchair strategist. Chemali served in senior roles at the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including in the Office of Terrorist Financing and Financial Crimes, where she worked directly on counterterrorism, sanctions policy, and efforts to disrupt the financial networks of hostile states and extremist groups. She also held positions during the Obama administration and has worked closely with interagency national security teams, giving her firsthand exposure to how threats are assessed when cameras are not rolling. In other words, she understands how national security doctrine is applied in practice, not just debated on cable news panels.

From that vantage point, Chemali argues that Venezuela cannot be viewed in isolation. It is not merely a failing state or a humanitarian crisis; it has become a strategic foothold for U.S. adversaries seeking influence in the Western Hemisphere. In that context, she suggests, the United States asserting a policing role in the Americas is less about imperial ambition and more about responding to a security architecture that no longer functions. When international bodies fail to actโ€”or selectively enforce rulesโ€”power vacuums do not remain empty for long.

Chemaliโ€™s analysis effectively provides the Trump administration with a serious national security rationale that goes beyond bluster or appeals to raw power. It offers a framework for countering the charge that the administration is acting lawlessly by arguing that the law itself has become disconnected from enforcement realities. Whether one agrees with that conclusion or not, it is a far more substantive defense than the caricature of Trump acting on impulse or ego.

Trump has occasionally gestured toward the Monroe Doctrine when addressing Venezuela, at times referring to his own version as the โ€œDonroe Doctrine,โ€ but he has rarely articulated the argument with the clarity or discipline Chemali brings to it. Her explanation distills what the administration seems to believe but has struggled to communicate: that American restraint, in a world where enforcement mechanisms are broken, can itself become a liability. Whether Trump adopts this rationale more explicitly going forward remains to be seen, but Chemaliโ€™s intervention may well give the administration an opening to reframe the debate on terms that are strategic rather than merely legalistic.