How Long Will The U.S. Keep Boots On The Ground In Venezuela?

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Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) appeared on MSNOW this weekend to discuss the rapidly unfolding developments surrounding the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. When pressed by one of the hosts on how long Americans should expect U.S. military boots to remain on the ground in Venezuela, Luna offered little beyond a hope—saying she “hopes” the deployment won’t last long. That answer may sound reassuring, but history gives us little reason to share her optimism.

Hope is not a strategy, especially when it comes to U.S. regime-change operations. If there is one consistent lesson from America’s modern military interventions, it is that removing a leader is usually the easiest part. What follows—stabilization, governance, security, and reconstruction—is where things unravel, drag on, and become vastly more expensive in both blood and treasure. Libya and Iraq loom large as cautionary tales, and Venezuela shows every sign of following the same grim script.

Iraq is perhaps the clearest example of this delusion. Military planners and television pundits alike once spoke confidently of a war that would be over in days or weeks. And indeed, the initial invasion was swift and overwhelming, culminating in the rapid toppling of Saddam Hussein. But the fall of a dictator did not produce the democratic transformation Washington promised. Instead, the United States found itself mired in a prolonged occupation, battling insurgencies, sectarian violence, and political chaos that cost hundreds of thousands of lives and trillions of dollars. Libya followed a similar trajectory: regime change first, disorder and state collapse afterward.

There is little reason to believe Venezuela will be any different. Removing Maduro does not magically resolve deep political divisions, economic collapse, or regional instability. Those problems do not disappear when a strongman is captured; they intensify. The idea that U.S. forces can simply step in, flip a switch, and then quickly depart belongs more to fantasy than to serious strategic thinking. The smart money says that once boots are on the ground, they stay—often far longer than anyone publicly admits at the outset.

This reality also collides head-on with “America First” rhetoric. An unprovoked military incursion into Venezuela, paired with open threats toward other governments in the region, hardly aligns with a foreign policy supposedly focused on rebuilding at home. Every dollar spent sustaining an open-ended military presence abroad is a dollar not spent addressing America’s own crumbling infrastructure, healthcare gaps, or economic inequality. And as history has shown, these ventures rarely remain bloodless. Casualties are not an unfortunate possibility; they are an almost inevitable outcome.

Americans should therefore be clear-eyed about what is unfolding. If past is prologue, the United States is not heading for a brief, tidy mission in Venezuela, but for a long and costly entanglement. Congress cannot simply defer to vague hopes or executive assurances. It has a constitutional obligation to demand accountability, debate the mission honestly, and decide whether this path truly serves the nation’s interests—before yet another “quick intervention” turns into a generational tragedy.

Machado Leaves No Doubt This Has Always Been About Regime Change

Maria Corina Machado’s appearance on CBS’ Face The Nation all but confirmed what many Americans have suspected as President Trump escalates pressure on Venezuela: regime change, not narcotics enforcement, is the true objective. While the administration continues to frame its military buildup and aggressive posture as a necessary response to so-called “narco-terrorists,” Machado’s own words exposed that justification as little more than political cover.

For months, President Trump has insisted that his actions toward Venezuela are narrowly focused on combating drug trafficking networks that he claims threaten U.S. national security. The administration’s repeated use of the term “narco-terrorism” is meant to evoke urgency and legitimacy, suggesting a defensive posture rather than an interventionist one. Yet this explanation has always strained credulity, particularly given Venezuela’s vast oil reserves and strategic importance. Those realities have inevitably fueled skepticism that Washington’s true aim is to remove Nicolás Maduro and install a government far more amenable to U.S. economic and geopolitical interests.

That skepticism has only grown sharper because Trump himself campaigned aggressively in 2024 on a “no regime change” platform. It was a message designed to reassure a war-weary electorate and an America First base deeply suspicious of foreign entanglements. Many of those same supporters are now openly questioning how a military buildup, veiled threats, and constant escalation toward Caracas square with the promises they were sold. The administration’s narco-terrorism rationale has functioned as a convenient way to bridge that contradiction—until Machado spoke plainly.

During her interview with Margaret Brennan, Machado did not merely criticize Maduro or call for international pressure. She openly discussed preparations for governance after his removal. In doing so, she revealed that plans are already in place for what comes once Maduro is toppled. That single admission dismantled the White House’s stated rationale. You do not develop detailed post-Maduro contingencies unless regime change is not only desired, but anticipated and actively pursued.

Brennan never had to explicitly ask whether the Trump administration is seeking regime change because Machado answered the question unprompted. She spoke about how a future Venezuelan government would manage destabilization efforts by foreign powers such as Russia and China—an extraordinary acknowledgment that she views Maduro’s fall not as hypothetical, but as imminent. That kind of forward-looking strategizing does not occur in a vacuum. It only makes sense if Washington has signaled, implicitly or explicitly, that removing the current regime is the goal.

Machado’s remarks effectively stripped away the last fig leaf of the narco-terrorism argument. If the mission were truly limited to drug interdiction, the discussion would center on law enforcement cooperation, intelligence sharing, and regional partnerships. Instead, what emerged was a clear blueprint for political transition. Her interview made it obvious that the Trump administration’s posture toward Venezuela has never been about drugs alone, and certainly not about restraint.

As this saga unfolds, the political consequences may prove just as significant as the geopolitical ones. Republicans who loudly embraced the “no regime change” mantra in 2024 will soon face voters again in the 2026 midterms. Machado’s candid interview has made it far harder for them to reconcile their past rhetoric with present reality. What was once denied outright is now being openly discussed by the very opposition leader the U.S. appears poised to empower.

In the end, Face The Nation did more than host an interview—it pulled back the curtain. And what was revealed leaves little room for doubt: regime change in Venezuela is not a byproduct of Trump’s policy. It is the policy.