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Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) appeared on MSNOW this weekend to discuss the rapidly unfolding developments surrounding the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. When pressed by one of the hosts on how long Americans should expect U.S. military boots to remain on the ground in Venezuela, Luna offered little beyond a hope—saying she “hopes” the deployment won’t last long. That answer may sound reassuring, but history gives us little reason to share her optimism.
Hope is not a strategy, especially when it comes to U.S. regime-change operations. If there is one consistent lesson from America’s modern military interventions, it is that removing a leader is usually the easiest part. What follows—stabilization, governance, security, and reconstruction—is where things unravel, drag on, and become vastly more expensive in both blood and treasure. Libya and Iraq loom large as cautionary tales, and Venezuela shows every sign of following the same grim script.
Iraq is perhaps the clearest example of this delusion. Military planners and television pundits alike once spoke confidently of a war that would be over in days or weeks. And indeed, the initial invasion was swift and overwhelming, culminating in the rapid toppling of Saddam Hussein. But the fall of a dictator did not produce the democratic transformation Washington promised. Instead, the United States found itself mired in a prolonged occupation, battling insurgencies, sectarian violence, and political chaos that cost hundreds of thousands of lives and trillions of dollars. Libya followed a similar trajectory: regime change first, disorder and state collapse afterward.
There is little reason to believe Venezuela will be any different. Removing Maduro does not magically resolve deep political divisions, economic collapse, or regional instability. Those problems do not disappear when a strongman is captured; they intensify. The idea that U.S. forces can simply step in, flip a switch, and then quickly depart belongs more to fantasy than to serious strategic thinking. The smart money says that once boots are on the ground, they stay—often far longer than anyone publicly admits at the outset.
This reality also collides head-on with “America First” rhetoric. An unprovoked military incursion into Venezuela, paired with open threats toward other governments in the region, hardly aligns with a foreign policy supposedly focused on rebuilding at home. Every dollar spent sustaining an open-ended military presence abroad is a dollar not spent addressing America’s own crumbling infrastructure, healthcare gaps, or economic inequality. And as history has shown, these ventures rarely remain bloodless. Casualties are not an unfortunate possibility; they are an almost inevitable outcome.
Americans should therefore be clear-eyed about what is unfolding. If past is prologue, the United States is not heading for a brief, tidy mission in Venezuela, but for a long and costly entanglement. Congress cannot simply defer to vague hopes or executive assurances. It has a constitutional obligation to demand accountability, debate the mission honestly, and decide whether this path truly serves the nation’s interests—before yet another “quick intervention” turns into a generational tragedy.